Forecast for the 0.0 category in 2025 appears promising
At the start of the new year and Dry January, the outlook for the low and no alcohol category looks positive for 2025; although research from Heineken shows there are still some hurdles to overcome.
The global 0.0 beer market is currently worth US$13.7 billion, and accounts for 1.7% of global beer volume.
The Heineken Company says it has driven growth in the 0.0 beer category with a 10% CAGR over the past five years, led by Heineken 0.0 reporting 14% growth in the first half of 2024. This performance surpasses what is one of the fastest growing beverage categories globally, which delivered a growth rate of 4.8% CAGR in the same five-year period, as consumer interest continues to build (source: according to research by IWSR, a leading global drinks data and analytics provider, which revealed growing consumer interest and forecast category growth of CAGR of +6% between 2023 and 2027). This is also underpinned by new study findings showing that 0.0 is seen as a confident choice as participants acknowledge non-alcoholic drinkers as “cool” (9%) and “respectable” (25%) rather than “uncool” (4%) or “boring” (6%).
Despite the growing opportunity and potential scale of the low and no alcohol category, new research into drinking habits from Heineken 0.0 in collaboration with University of Oxford Professor Charles Spence has revealed that in some situations social pressure is still a barrier to choice and consumption.
An early leader in the low and no alcohol category, Heineken has been investing and innovating since 2017 to fuel increasing demand for alcohol free alternatives, and the segment now accounts for over 4% of Heineken’s portfolio, with notable growth in several key markets. In Europe, as well as in the United States and Brazil, Heineken 0.0 and Sol 0.0 are gaining significant traction.
This new study undertaken by Charles Spence, Professor of Experimental Psychology at the University of Oxford and Heineken 0.0, surveying 11,842 adults across five developed non-alcohol beer markets UK, USA, Spain, Japan (over the legal drinking age up to 75 years old), and Brazil (18 – 65 years old), found that despite the rising acceptance of low and non-alcoholic beverages, certain demographics report they feel societal pressure or are being questioned when choosing alcohol-free options.
Within the surveyed group, Gen-Z (legal drinking age to 26 years old) experiences the highest levels of societal expectations around alcohol consumption, with more than one in three reporting to have felt pressure to drink alcohol in some social situations.
Some other notable findings from the study tell us:
- 21% of Gen Z say they have concealed drinking low and no alcohol versions of alcoholic beverages because of social pressures.
- 38% of Gen Z men say they would be willing to drink low and no alcohol versions of alcoholic drinks, but only if their friends do too.
- If and when Gen Z men choose to drink a low or no alcohol version of alcoholic drinks, 29% feel they need to explain and justify their choice of drink and even feel like “outsiders” for doing so.
- When it comes to moderation, there is a gap in what people say versus what they do – 51% of people have ended up drinking alcohol when they said they wouldn’t, which could be due to social pressure.
Heineken wants to tackle the stigmas around social acceptance of choosing low and no alcohol beverages with a clear message: if someone chooses dry, it doesn’t matter why. To empower people to be reason free, Heineken launches its new campaign ‘0.0 Reasons Needed’ as part of the ongoing strategy to grow the category and refresh the market’s perspective on low and no-alcohol beverages.
Charles Spence, Professor of Experimental Psychology at the University of Oxford, explains, “For generations, alcohol has played a central role in the way humans socialise, therefore dominant assumptions and stereotypes surrounding our drinking habits remain deeply ingrained in society. Our study has uncovered some fascinating insights into evolving societal attitudes towards alcohol consumption. For many, alcohol is no longer the default in social situations – we’re seeing a shift towards more mindful consumption, despite the stigma that younger generations of legal drinking age still experience.”
Heineken’s latest campaign follows the ongoing efforts of Heineken 0.0 to expand the non-alcoholic beverage (NAB) category, featuring impactful sponsorships like Heineken 0.0 x F1 and its “When You Drive, Never Drink” message, as well as inspiring ambassador partnerships, such as the one with four-time world racing champion Max Verstappen. Heineken continues to lead the way in driving cultural and behavioural change. Matching the rising demand for Heineken 0.0, it is now available in 114 markets to date.
Joanna Price, chief corporate affairs officer Heineken, observes that as a global leader in the low and no alcohol beverage category for almost a decade, Heineken is positioned to both predict and respond to consumer needs.
“Our research shows that the acceptability of 0.0 beer is at an all-time high,” Price adds. “However, social stigmas still hinder our vision that everyone should always have a choice and should not be held back from choosing 0.0. Through campaigns like ‘Heineken 0.0 Reasons Needed,’ we are committed to empowering responsible consumption and fostering a culture of moderation.”
This commitment is guided by Heineken’s “Always a Choice” principle, which ensures that wherever Heineken Original is available, Heineken 0.0 will also be offered. In Europe, over 60% of locations now include this alcohol-free option, providing consumers with more choices in social settings.
Joanna Price continues: “Three years into our Brew a Better World 2030 strategy, our focus on consumer empowerment is stronger than ever. By offering 0.0 beer options, delivering excellent taste, and tackling social stigmas, we are redefining choice. Looking ahead to 2025, our ambition is to ensure that no-alcohol options are available for one strategic brand in key markets covering 90% of our business.”
